Warren Should Focus on Brown as a Republican To Win, Local Democrats Say

After three polls released last week showed Elizabeth Warren ahead of Scott Brown, while another showed Brown ahead of Warren, Patch surveyed influential Massachusetts Democrats to get their take on the tight race.

Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren should focus on Sen. Scott Brown's Republican affiliation and continue to tie him to the national GOP during the final stretch of his campaign: that's the main finding of this week's Blue Commonwealth survey of influential Massachusetts Democrats.

Three polls by three separate polling organizations showing Warren ahead of Brown—but barely—were released early last week. 

Further illustrating how tight the race has become, hours after Patch sent the survey out to Massachusetts Republicans, another poll by UMass Lowell and the Boston Herald showed Brown ahead of Warren by 6 points, with a 5.5 percent margin of error, after an UMass Lowell/Herald poll nine months ago had Warren leading by 7.

Almost half of the influential Massachusetts Democrats that Patch surveyed, 48.2 percent, said that Warren's reported rise in the polls is most likely attributable to a post-Democratic National Convention bump that energized Democrats and left-leaning independents, while 29.6 percent attributed it to other factors, such as grassroots strength and voters "learning more about both candidates."

Those surveyed expressed confidence in the efficacy of Warren's get-out-the-vote organization compared to Brown's, with 37 percent saying it's "much better" than Brown's and 40.7 percent saying it's "somewhat better."

Reach Out to All Demographic Groups

The Western New England University (WNEU)'s Polling Institute's poll last week showed Brown leading Warren among male voters 49-44, while Warren led among female voters in the same poll 55-40. Asked which strategy Warren should focus on regarding the gender gap, influential Massachusetts Democrats were split: 37 percent said she should focus on cementing and extending her lead with female voters, 25.9 percent said she should try to make gains among male voters, and 33.3 percent voted "other."

In the "other" responses, some Democrats said Warren shouldn't focus on one demographic or another and go after voters from both groups, with one respondent adding that in focusing on both groups, Warren should be "providing a message that meets the needs of all, not some."

Asked how Warren could win over either male or female voters, some respondents focused on the 'War on Women' theme used by Warren's campaign to cement and extend her lead with female voters.

"Remind women that if Brown wins and the Republicans take back the Senate, it will be bad for women on reproductive issues, women's health, and workplace issues," one respondent wrote. "And that Brown tried to bully Warren during the first debate and obviously feels intimidate by smart, successful women, since he keeps sarcastically referring to her as 'The Professor.'"

Other respondents urged Warren's campaign to focus on economic issues, such as taxes and bills such as the American Jobs Act, and contrast her stances on those issues with Brown's, while connecting Brown to the national GOP's stances on the issues.

Define Scott Brown as Republican, Not Independent

Asked what should be the primary issue that Warren should focus on during the final stretch of the campaign, most of the survey respondents said that Warren should go after Brown for his voting record, which respondents described as "not independent" and "consistently with the Republican right wing."

Some respondents said that in defining Brown as a Republican, the Warren campaign should also emphasize the possibility of Republicans controlling the Senate, while others said Warren should focus on contrasting her views on economic issues with Republicans' views. 

"Republican economic policies gave the middle class almost a decade of stagnation, followed by an economic collapse from which we're still recovering," one respondent wrote. "Once again, the GOP 'solution' is more tax cuts for the super-rich. We tried that, and it didn't work. Scott Brown says he's independent, but he only acts that way when it's easy. On the hard votes, on the important votes, Scott Brown toes the party line." 

Brown and Warren had their first debate of four last week and most of the respondents leaned towards the debates deciding the race, with 59.3 somewhat agreeing it would be the deciding factor in the race and 18.5 percent strongly agreeing. Another 18.5 percent were neutral on the impact the debates would have on the race.

Red and Blue Commonwealth Survey
Our surveys are not a scientific, random sample of any larger population, but rather an effort to listen to a group of influential local Republican and Democratic activists, party leaders, candidates and elected officials in Massachusetts. All of these individuals have agreed to participate in Massachusetts’ Patch surveys, although not all responded to this story’s questions. Answers have been edited for style, but not for content.

Patch will be conducting Red Commonwealth and Blue Commonwealth surveys throughout the 2012 election season in hopes of determining the true sentiment of conservatives and progressives on the ground in Massachusetts. If you are an activist, party leader or elected official and would like to take part in periodic surveys that last just a few minutes, contact Associate Regional Editor Daniel DeMaina at danield@patch.com.

Note: This article is published across multiple Patch sites in the area. 

Gretchen Robinson September 29, 2012 at 10:48 PM
In my experience, Hitler references just inflames the conversation and ill-serves the one who makes the comment. Let's have "More light, less heat"
Indiana September 30, 2012 at 12:45 AM
ACORN was indead real and I am sure is running under another name this time around.
Dennis Keller September 30, 2012 at 02:09 AM
Real?! Sorry, but this is another example of the Republican alternate-reality. Check this out: http://www.pennlive.com/editorials/index.ssf/2010/01/acorn_voter_fraud_claims_are_p.html This quote from the story sums it up: "As many organizations on both sides of the political aisle did, ACORN paid its employees $1 per new voter registered. While most workers did their jobs and lawfully registered new voters, a few defrauded ACORN by filling out the registration cards themselves and turning them in for the dollar. In nearly every instance, it was ACORN that discovered the fraud and called it to the attention of election authorities. The inescapable conclusion to which the evidence leads is that if there is fraud involved with ACORN’s activities, it is being perpetrated by those knowingly making false accusations against the organization." Did you get the last line? The people guilty of fraud are those claiming it where it doesn't exist!
Gretchen Robinson September 30, 2012 at 02:33 AM
get that pope Indiana? Dennis. thanks for the link I'm sure there will be more coming out on the Republican funded voter fraud in FL, since it's a breaking story. But here again, the voter fraud was found out.
Andrew September 30, 2012 at 02:59 AM
I want my obama phone!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Gretchen Robinson September 30, 2012 at 03:34 AM
David Shields, pundit for the democrats noted Republican discontent and called "conservative whine country..."
Indiana September 30, 2012 at 01:26 PM
ACORN - SEIU same thing....keep believing lib pundits...
Ken B. September 30, 2012 at 02:02 PM
Then post the link that proves your lie "Gore won Florida by 5,000 votes" Oh, you can't because it doesn't exist !!!
Martin Luther September 30, 2012 at 05:51 PM
Indiana, I was impressed by Avon's selection of you as Pope and POTUS but your support for Bubba burst your balloon. BTW Monica is playing to publish her version of 7 intimate dates that she had with Bubba.
Mr. Ragman September 30, 2012 at 05:54 PM
The fees are brought to you by Liz Warren's CFPB - Dodd/Frank - believe me all this regulation will and is passed on to the consumer. Just like credit card companies shortening their grace period to 25 days, so now there are more than 12 billing cycles in a year, note that on your statement they are called billing cycles and not months anymore. You see no matter what roadblocks gov't throws up to thwart capitalism, capitalist always find away around it like Obamacare - companies will simply pay the fine instead of providing healthcare, unions like your beloved SEIU all have waivers, non-profits and universities - the cesspools that spawn liberal thought pattern - all are exempt - who are the chumps here? Not the needy, they pay nothing and get thousands upon thousands in return - make $50k - you're screwed - $100k? Doubly screwed, $250k? - well you are a 1% and will definitely pay, unless of course you are a union hack or public servant, school teacher, cop or employed by a non-profit (see above) - you are protected by your messiah.
Martin Luther September 30, 2012 at 05:58 PM
Gretchen! You refer to Occam's Razor but fail to apply the principles advocated by Occam. BTW As a Florida State Seminoles and Atlanta fan, I whoop and do the chop as I perform a war dance in support of my teams. BTW I am ~1/4 Mayan indian who never got or asked for a free lunch from the US taxpayers unlike the so called Native Americans who fought on the side of the British during America's War of Independence and in the War of 1812.
Martin Luther September 30, 2012 at 06:00 PM
Truth- Check out the Dixiecrats and George Wallace legacies.
Martin Luther September 30, 2012 at 06:03 PM
You obviously work for the government. Get a life and get your facts straight. Syat with the NY Times and Washington Post and then check out their facts with Fox News. A quick scan of BBC for world news will make you an informed person in less than 20 minutes/day of your own time.
Martin Luther September 30, 2012 at 06:10 PM
Professor Warren, if you are really a Cherokee, at least one ancestor of Cherokee blood, you should check the Dawes Rolls. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bl2WNu4ERqA&feature=related You do not have to rely on stories told to you by your ancestors.
Indiana September 30, 2012 at 08:47 PM
wouldn't you want a few republicans in office in this dreadful state?? You know a LITTLE balance?? I would think unless you are in a union or just bleed blue? Anytimr.e I hear ACLU or SEIU in a story - immediately it is bogus
Gretchen Robinson September 30, 2012 at 09:01 PM
I have a Republican state rep, mayor, most of the city councilors, neighbors hereabouts. The Attleboro area is rife with Republicans. Indiana, that is a bogus argument. One that people like you always fall back on. It's a plea that I have addressed before. Vote the candidate. Republicans have no back bench. They have run flub-a-dub candidates in the past (Peter Blute, a guy who was cross-dressing in his office, etc.) Put up some solid candidates and I'll vote for them. I have in the past. But they are all so far to the right right now, that I wouldn't touch them with a 10 foot pole.
Daniel F. Devine September 30, 2012 at 09:26 PM
I think GRETCHEN has too much time on her hands.....Get a life GRETCHEN!
Jane Street September 30, 2012 at 10:51 PM
Really Daniel? Gretchen is consistenly civil, issue oriented, and knowledable. She supports what she writes with references, and is a recently retired hospice chaplin. Really, get a life? Sometimes reading comments on the Patch is like swimming through a sewer...
Indiana September 30, 2012 at 11:49 PM
Believe it or not I have voted democrat 90% of my life for over 30 years - not anymore, I am disgusted with the dems lately - lies upon lies(i know it happens on both sides) . I certainly trust Brown over Warren...Obama just seems to be campaigning instead of running the country for the last 4 years - just think it was too soon for him. You are accurate that there is not much on both sides. We end up voting against a candidate than for a candidate
Avon Barksdale October 01, 2012 at 12:25 AM
"Believe it or not " ... Yeah, I choose not to believe that.
Indiana October 01, 2012 at 01:23 AM
it is true Avon...voted for Bubba and his "cigars" twice and Bush JR once.I voted for McCain but would have voted for Hillary instead. That is the beauty of being independent...that's what makes me wonder why you all stick up for Barry the way you do.
Martin Luther October 01, 2012 at 01:58 AM
So Gretchen instead of ministering to dying patients spends her time reading 25 plus newspapers and posting to blogs to defend the failed policies of POTUS Obama and VPOTUS Biden. She is surely one of the 47$ with her hand out waiting for government hand outs.
Gretchen Robinson October 01, 2012 at 02:07 AM
Indiana October 01, 2012 at 11:51 AM
Yes Barry Soetoro - Barack's original name
Sinclair October 01, 2012 at 12:40 PM
Not his original name. President Obama's mother married Lolo Soetoro, her second husband, and her son Barack kept his original name. Why is it that the oppostion didn't play with the original names Leslie Lynch King and William Jefferson Blythe III both of whom are former presidents? Could it be that they are both white and without any association with Muslims?
Indiana October 01, 2012 at 01:58 PM
Hey I didn't bring it up...it was a previous name he went by - don't care what his ethnicity is. BTW isn't he half white?
Gretchen Robinson October 01, 2012 at 04:58 PM
to racists in the south through out 1800s-1900s "one drop of N------ blood made you a black. Conservatives in this country are still caught up in that mentality. Btw we are all racists, all internalized racial messages as kids and have them inside us. Read "Learning to Be White" by Tim Wise.
Martin Luther October 03, 2012 at 01:03 AM
Gretchen! It must be a slow day at the hospice place for you to be so engaged on topics for which are clearly without a clue. There is no difference between a Welfare Queen or public sector drone sucking up their sustenance from the blood of taxpayers. BTW I am ~1/4 Mayan Indian and reading Wise's book, written to lay a guilt trip on Honkies, will not enhance my body of knowledge.
Gretchen Robinson October 03, 2012 at 01:13 AM
if that's your outlook then go on believing it. I'll stick with reality....
Martin Luther October 03, 2012 at 02:52 PM
Your reality is to continue to suck the blood from hard working taxpayers to maintain the lifestyle of the public sector blood suckers.


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